Articles. Essays and short stories about epistemic humility, incentives, and the discipline of being unsure.

The theme is “trust-chains.” Follow them far enough and you’ll find incentives.

Do You Actually Know the Earth is Round?

October 5, 2025 • 6 min read

A pragmatic look at the difference between knowledge, belief, and borrowed certainty.

Evidence is not a feeling — it's a trail you can walk.

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Entropy, Belief, and Why Overconfidence Fails

September 28, 2025 • 5 min read

Why complexity punishes arrogance — and how to keep beliefs updateable.

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The Volkov Files: A Cold War Secret That Won't Die

October 6, 2025 • 10 min read

Most certainty is rented, not owned.

A Soviet scientist defects with evidence of extraterrestrial contact. Or does he?

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The Archive of Almost-Truths

October 12, 2025 • 4 min read

A short story about citations, incentives, and stability.

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The Mapmaker’s Margin

A neat story is a social technology.

October 19, 2025 • 3 min read

A short story about precision and what gets hidden in the margins.

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The Witness Who Wouldn’t Swear

October 26, 2025 • 3 min read

A short story about nuance in a system that punishes it.

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